S3U

Geography / Weather and climate / Grade 3 / gc3f1

Read the Harbor Gate Forecast

Compare a fictional forecast without turning a chance into a promise.

All worksheets

Watch the lesson | Try the other forecast worksheet

5 questions0m 0s
Learn the skill

Start with the place, day, period and units. Compare temperature and rain chance separately: the warmest period need not have the greatest chance of rain. A rain chance is for measurable rain at a point during the stated period, not a number of rainy minutes. A forecast is a prediction, not a record of what already happened.

Worked example

At a different practice place, Park Gate, the morning forecast is 9 C with a 10% rain chance and the afternoon is 15 C with 40%. Afternoon is warmer and has the higher chance there. Neither percentage says how many minutes rain will last.

Fictional Harbor Gate Monday forecast: morning 16 C and 60 percent rain chance; afternoon 23 C and 30 percent; evening 18 C and 80 percent. The labeled columns separate temperature from rain chance.
Compare the temperature column and the rain-chance column separately. All values are fictional.

Harbor Gate: An Invented Forecast for Monday

Morning (8 a.m.-noon): 16 C, 60% rain chance. Afternoon (noon-6 p.m.): 23 C, 30%. Evening (6 p.m.-midnight): 18 C, 80%. Each chance applies at Harbor Gate during its listed period. These are predictions, not observed temperatures or rain totals. Use current official local information and adult guidance for real weather decisions, not this practice table.

Question 1 Which Harbor Gate period is forecast to be warmest?
Question 2 Which period has the greatest rain chance in this forecast?
Question 3 What does the morning 60% describe?
Question 4 Does this table prove that 23 C was actually measured on Monday afternoon?
Question 5 Before a real outing, an updated forecast appears. What is a useful next step?